So far, AI hasn’t been profitable for Big Tech


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Big Tech companies like Microsoft and Google are grappling with the challenge of turning AI products like ChatGPT into a profitable enterprise, reports The Wall Street Journal. While companies are heavily investing in AI tech that can generate business memos or code, the cost of running advanced AI models is proving to be a significant hurdle. Some services, like Microsoft’s GitHub Copilot, drive significant operational losses.

Generative AI models used for creating text are not cheap to operate. Large language models (LLM) like the ones that power ChatGPT require powerful servers with high-end, energy-consuming chips. For example, we recently cited a Reuters report with analysis that claimed each ChatGPT query may cost 4 cents to run. As a result, Adam Selipsky, the chief executive of Amazon Web Services, told the Journal that many corporate customers are unhappy with the high running costs of these AI models.

The current cost challenge is tied to the nature of AI computations, which often require new calculations for each query, unlike standard software that enjoys economies of scale. This makes flat-fee models for AI services risky, as increasing customer usage can drive up operational costs and lead to potential losses for the company.

Some companies are trying to dial back costs, while others continue to invest more deeply in the tech. Microsoft and Google have introduced more expensive AI-backed upgrades to their existing software services, while Zoom reportedly tried to reduce costs by sometimes using a less complex in-house AI model for some tasks. Adobe is approaching the problem with activity caps and charging based on usage, while Microsoft and Google are typically sticking with flat fees.

GitHub Copilot, which assists app developers by generating code, has been operating at a loss despite attracting more than 1.5 million users and integrating into nearly half of their coding projects. Users pay a flat fee of $10 a month for the service, but the cost to Microsoft exceeds $20 a month per user on average, according to a person familiar with the matter. In some cases, individual power users have cost the company as much as $80 a month.

One of the reasons AI services are so costly is that some companies have been reaching for the most powerful AI models available. For example, Microsoft uses OpenAI’s most complex LLM, GPT-4, for many of its AI features. GPT-4 is among the largest and most expensive AI models to operate, demanding significant computing power. The WSJ quipped that using this model for basic tasks such as summarizing an email is like “getting a Lamborghini to deliver a pizza,” suggesting that using the most capable AI models can be overkill for simple tasks.

Along these lines, Microsoft has been exploring less costly alternatives for its Bing Chat search engine assistant, including Meta’s Llama 2 language model. However, over time, due to advances in AI acceleration hardware, the costs to operate these complex models will likely come down. Whether those advancements can come soon enough to match this year’s hype cycle over AI is uncertain.

While there’s still excitement in the sector, the WSJ reports that we might be near the peak before a reality check sets in. Some experts anticipate a more stringent financial approach in the near future, highlighted by May Habib, CEO of generative AI firm Writer, who told the outlet, “Next year, I think, is the year that the slush fund for generative AI goes away.” This suggests that we may soon see the industry transition from enthusiasm and experimental budgets to a phase where the focus will be on whether these AI models can actually contribute to company profitability.

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